
Originally Posted by
TapRackPull
It's all about risk tolerance.
If you set up 6 1.5TB drives in a RAIDZ1 you would have 7.5TB of total storage capacity with 1 parity drive. So in this situation, you could lose 1 HDD and retain your data. If you lost a second drive you would have a total loss of data.
If you set up 6 1.5TB drives in a RAIDZ2 you would have 6TB of storage space and 2 parity drives. In this situation you could lose 2 drives without losing data. You're third consecutive HDD failure would result in a total loss of data.
From a statistical point of view: (Home disasters excluded, since there is no predicting that and regardless of setup your data is likely destroyed)
The odds of losing 2 HDDs at nearly the same time is on the order of winning the lottery. - Of course people win the lottery daily.
The odds of losing 3 HDDs at nearly the same time is nearly infantismal.
From a practical standpoint:
The information that you have mentioned storing on this NAS is non-critical, family photos not-withstanding. Since you will have an off-site backup of those, let's remove them from consideration. There is no practical reason that you can not power-down this NAS at any given moment should a HDD fail. If your family was hell-bent on watching a movie that evening, that is what RedBox/Netflix is for. You are a winner with either setup. In my view, you should take a step back, and determine how much space do you need, as that will likely determine the importance of that extra 1.5TB.
Start with 'How much data do I have?':
If you your current capacity is a 1TB drive chock full of data and you build a RAIDZ1 system with 7.5 times your current capacity, is that enough for the next year maybe two? For the average user its probably even overkill. But, only you know how much data you have and expansion you will likely need in the coming weeks/months. Do everything possible to not place yourself in a situation where your storage needs exceed your storage space too quickly. You need time to plan ahead when it comes to expanding a RAIDZ configuration.
If it were me:
This is only my opinion, so take it with a grain of salt (and maybe a shot of tequila). I might be more of a gambler than some. Assuming this fits into your storage space needs in the future, I would buy 1 more 1TB and 1 more 1.5TB. I would set them both up as there own vdevs in a RAIDZ1. That would yield you a combined 5TB of storage space. From my perspective, the benefit of this is two-fold. First, it saves you some cash upfront and maximizes the use of the drives that you currently have. Second is risk stratification. Playing the statistics game again, the odds of losing 2/3 of your drives from one vdev at the same time is low. When you break your disks into two groups, you signifcantly reduce the odds that both failures will come from the same vdev.